Just over a year has passed since Mike and I returned to Israel in the wake of the tragic events of October 7th. Seven months later, when we returned to Canada for the summer, the situation, while not calm exactly, was stable enough that the European airlines were flying in and out of Israel on a normal schedule. That all changed with Operation “Grim Beeper”, as one wit characterized the Hezbollah pager attacks in September. This was followed in quick succession by the elimination of Nasrallah and much of the rest of Hezbollah’s leadership, another Iranian ballistic missile attack on Israel, and the start of a ground offensive against Hezbollah in Lebanon. That was it — game over for the airlines. Also, game over for Hezbollah, although that realization was yet to come.
The upshot of all this was that we found ourselves in exactly the same situation we were in a year earlier — our October flights to Israel were summarily cancelled. Once again El Al was (and still is) the only game in town, and they don’t fly from Canada. So, as in the previous year, we rebooked to Athens in November with a short hop on El Al to Tel Aviv the next day. Plus ca change…
We have now been back exactly a month, and several times I have sat myself down at the computer to send you an update, only to have the next news headline give me whiplash. In brief, it has been a tumultuous month here in the Middle East and, in many ways, the world at large. And though I don’t usually focus on current events in this blog, we do live next to the Iranian “circle of fire” — explicitly designed to rid the region of the “Zionist entity”, of which we are a part — and right now, what is happening there, is taking up most of my “thinking time”.
We flew in on November 6th, as the news of Trump’s win started to trickle in. This, by itself, would be big news in this region. Meanwhile Iran was threatening yet another “definitive, painful response” to Israel, as if its most recent ballistic missile attack, the largest in history, was not enough. Daily rocket barrages from Hezbollah were targeting cities like Haifa, Nahariya, and the Tel Aviv area. In fact, one missile actually landed near Ben Gurion airport about an hour before we landed, triggering sirens throughout the Tel Aviv area. (Evidently, Hezbollah had been missing us). Ben was on his way to get the car to pick us up and, as mandated by Homefront Command, had to get out of the bus and take shelter. The bus, of course, then took off without him. (Israeli bus drivers !#!!) He did eventually make it to the airport, bless him.
Thankfully, we were unaware of all this in flight, although we did notice that our plane circled the whole country at high elevation before landing, and that our final descent was unusually abrupt and steep. I don’t think this was a coincidence.
Also on the 6th, Netanyahu fired Yoav Gallant, his defence minister, and appointed a “yes man” in his place. In other words Netanyahu was now the de facto defence minister.
This was our first day.
Two days later there was the Amsterdam Pogrom or “Jew hunt” as it was also called. Do not be deceived by claims that this was a result of Israeli fans’ provocation, which in any event would be a pathetic excuse for this kind of violence. These were well organized and extensive attacks, with ample evidence of advance planning on messaging apps such as Telegram.
As we settled back into our life here, we had several opportunities to reconnect with our neighbours in the safe room on our floor, as sirens continued to blare. It was in some ways very much like the year before, except the rockets were coming from the north, not the south. One Saturday afternoon we were out for a walk along the Yarkon River, nowhere near a shelter, when a siren sounded. Looking about, we saw parents and children taking what shelter they could under trees by the river. There was no panic and we followed their lead. After 5- 10 minutes we all moved on. It is both admirable, and a bit sad, how well the children have learned to handle these events.
Shortly after our return, Mike noticed that the time on his phone was an hour later than it should have been. Then I noticed on Google maps that we were apparently located in Amman (Jordan), which would explain why the time was off by an hour. Hmmm. It turns out that the GPS system in the country was scrambled, presumably to confuse the enemy. (Instead, it just confused us.) Our friends in the north found themselves in Beirut instead of Haifa or Netanya! In the circumstances, I think we were better off in Amman. Meanwhile, on my “Moovit” transit app, my directions consistently used Ramat Gan, a nearby suburb, as the pick-up point for my bus. Honestly, do they think that invaders are taking the # 14 bus downtown?
Then, on November 21st, the ICC issued their infamous arrest warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant, and the late unlamented Mohammed Deif (who is no doubt turning in his grave over this affront). If you are interested in an unbiased military take on this disgraceful act of Lawfare, I encourage you to read Andrew Fox, “The Case Against Israel is Built on Lies” a summary of an Amicus Curiae brief submitted to the ICC by a panel of military professionals from Spain, Italy, USA, UK, France, The Netherlands, and Finland. The link can be found at the end of this post.
Less than a week later on the 27th, a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon (Hezbollah) went into effect. The ink was barely dry on the agreement, when Syrian Jihadi rebels — no longer intimidated by a weakened Hezbollah (staunch Assad allies) — launched an offensive which led, only 10 days later, to the stunning fall of Bashar al Assad (as predicted, almost to the day, by my in-house Middle East analyst, Mike). The aftershocks of this seismic event are still playing out and are providing endless fodder to “experts” of all stripes. Will a weakened Iran race to a nuclear weapon? Will Syria descend into chaos? Will Assad’s military bases, vast arsenal, and chemical weapons fall into the wrong hands? And are there any right hands? After all, the Jihadi group who just swept Assad out, is a designated terrorist group in most western countries, and not ideologically disposed to leave Israel in peace.
Not content to sit by and just hope for the best, the US has bombed ISIS bases in Syria, and Israel has taken out a wide array of Syrian military assets including chemical weapons’ sites. The IDF is also occupying the Syrian side of the UN mandated buffer zone, since their army has fled and here is no one to enforce it. (This is not okay with the UN — what a surprise. ) Turkey, unfortunately, is also taking advantage of the situation to attack the Kurds in northern Syria. (The UN is apparently fine with this.)
To round out this past month, in the rest of the world, we also saw the Montreal riots, the torching of a synagogue in Melbourne, the murder of a Chabad rabbi in the UAE, and a sobering expose by Terry Glavin on the state of antisemitism in Canada, published in the Free Press. (Link below at the end of the post.)
So how does it feel to be back? Well, not surprisingly, it feels like we have been here a lot longer than a month. And notwithstanding the draw of all-day news feeds, we have managed to see friends, go to the Tel Aviv Museum of Art, go for a day to Jerusalem, and visit two museums in Latrun. This latter is worth a post of its own, which I will save for next time.
The “situation” has changed dramatically since last year, especially in the last couple of months. After being bogged down in Gaza for too long, and after 11 months of tolerating Hezbollah attacks to the north, the IDF finally has regained its reputation for deterrence. It has eliminated virtually all Hamas leadership including Sinwar. It has severely wounded Iran’s largest proxy army, Hezbollah, and taken out Iran’s air defences in response to their barrage of ballistic missiles. As an unexpected side benefit, Assad’s murderous regime has been toppled, and Iran’s supply route through Syria to its main proxy in Lebanon has now been cut off. Could Iran’s nuclear program be the next to go? We can but hope.
Yes, there are still plenty of risks in an unstable Syria, but overall there is reason for optimism. And yet…
Over 14 months after the Hamas invasion…100 hostages are still not home. Some are still in captivity in horrific conditions, some have been brutally executed, and some have died, who knows how and when. No matter which way you look at this, it is a failure and an open wound in Israeli society. Whatever the outcome of an eventual deal with the devil, the damage cannot be undone, and it weighs on us all.
And yet… This is a resilient people, determined to live as fully as possible, and good at seizing joyful moments when they come their way. One of these is an ongoing baby boom. Yes, a baby boom in the middle of a war, right across the country. And on that positive note I will sign off before something else happens, and I have to re-write this.
https://www.thefp.com/p/explosion-of-jew-hate-in-canada-trudeau-israel-palestine